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Money and property rights
By J. Bradley Jansen and Matt Sekerke
An important test faces Congress and President Bush: Will we move back toward the Rule of Law and respect for contracts and property rights or does our government still not know what the meaning of "is" is? Whether or not they abide by US law and oppose International Monetary Fund efforts to use our taxpayer dollars to reward theft through the voiding of Argentina's monetary contract will be a key harbinger. The other option is to encourage Enron-style financial incentives for fraud.
When Argentina's president Eduardo Duhalde unilaterally abandoned the currency board monetary system and devalued the peso, he hurt American and other investors. Under a currency board, notes and coins are fully backed by assets in a foreign anchor currency and are fully convertible into the anchor currency at a fixed exchange rate on demand ("Should Developing Countries Have Central Banks?" by Kurt Schuler, Institute for Economic Affairs, 1996). Thus, a currency board provides a guarantee to a noteholder: He or she may always exchange the note for an equivalent amount of the reserve currency.
Even the IMF has lauded the guarantees of currency boards, "Demand is higher for a currency-board currency' than for currencies without guarantees because holders know that, rain or shine, their liquid money can easily be converted into a major foreign currency". There was no IMF doubt that currency boards provide a contractual guarantee for investors.
The good news is that Americans as taxpayers should not support a government that steals money from Americans as investors. U.S. law (Title 22, section 2370a) clearly says, "The President shall instruct the United States Executive Directors of each multilateral development bank and international financial institution to vote against any loan or other utilization of the funds of such bank or institution for the benefit of any country" that has expropriated the property of any U.S. person, nullified any contract with any U.S. person, or taken any other action which has the effect of seizing ownership or control of the property of any U.S. person. The provisions apply until the country in question has made restitution or has provided for a suitable remedy such as arbitration under international law.
The only question now is whether Congress and the president will uphold U.S. law or permit US taxpayer money to the IMF to reward thieves. Lawmakers should also focus on the IMF's failure to identify the sources of the crisis, and their role in sanctioning the events that led to it.
From April 1, 1991 to January 6, 2002, Argentina's central bank employed a currency board-like system called convertibility which maintained a fixed exchange rate of 1 peso to 1 US dollar by holding US dollar reserves equal to outstanding peso monetary liabilities. Investors put money into Argentina under those clear, legal conditions.
When Domingo Cavallo became Economy Minister in March 2001, he introduced a series of measures which put the currency board guarantee in question. Markets interpreted these proposals as preludes to devaluation, pushing interest rates up and driving capital flight from Argentina. As confidence in the Argentine system deteriorated, the IMF should have encouraged Argentina to restore credibility by either adopting a more orthodox currency board or by officially dollarizing. The IMF did neither. In fact, as events unfolded, they did exactly the opposite.
The panic began on April 17, 2001, when Cavallo proposed substituting euros for half of the reserve backing of Argentina's currency board-like system.
The IMF did not react.
On May 21, IMF Managing Director Horst Köhler said he welcomed Argentina's efforts for a debt swap it claimed would support medium-term financing sustainability. Eleven days later, Minister Cavallo engineered a swap that obliged Argentine banks to exchange relatively good, liquid government bonds for new longer-dated, illiquid paper. The central bank was obliged to inject liquidity into the banking system (a feature which is not present in orthodox currency board systems), which greatly expanded the monetary base and reduced dollar reserve backing of the currency below 100 per cent for the first time.
Soon after, on June 15, Minister Cavallo announced a dual exchange-rate regime: one for imports and another for most exports. When markets worried again about devaluation, interest rates spiked and capital flowed out of Argentina. A week later, IMF Director of External Relations Thomas Dawson told a press conference that the IMF continued to support Argentina's efforts.
By September 7 last year, three events had occurred, with the IMF's approval, which seriously compromised the credibility of the convertibility system. Predictably, this did not stop the IMF from augmenting Argentina's stand-by credit to $21.57 billion. IMF First Deputy Managing Director Anne Krueger appeared utterly oblivious in a press release, saying: "The [new Argentine] program aims at restoring the credibility of the fiscal position and the convertibility regime."
At the end of November, Mr. Cavallo further undermined the convertibility system by requiring banks to exchange treasury bills for illiquid new ones. As a result, banks could not meet demands for deposit withdrawals, so he instituted restrictions on deposit withdrawals and transfers of funds abroad. A week later Thomas Dawson informed us "there is no Fund staff view on the subject."
Dissatisfaction with these measures led to rioting and a revolving-door political crisis, producing five presidents in two weeks. Eduardo Duhalde became Argentina's fifth president on January 1, 2002, and ended convertibility five days later. He broke the monetary contract and created a new exchange-rate regime which stole about 40 per cent of the value of the pesosimilar to FDR's breaking our domestic gold standard contract and devaluation.
This ended the legal right of people to convert pesos into dollars, amounting to outright theft of the central bank's foreign reserves. Duhalde's administration proceeded to violate contracts with foreign companies, steal the dollar deposits of Argentines, and wreak havoc on the banking system. Since Argentina's devaluation, all eyes have been on the IMF to come to Argentina's aid. And the Duhalde administration is already penciling in a bailout package to support its budget.
The Congress must demand that President Bush follow the law and oppose any new IMF lending to Argentina until it honors its contracts. They should also oppose additional disbursements to the IMF based on the IMF's failure to respond to the unfolding crisis. If the IMF cannot focus on basic contracts, property rights and monetary stabilityinstead of its new pet projects of higher taxes and less financial privacytaxpayers would be better served if we gave our notice of withdrawal to the IMF and put our returned deposits to better uses.
J. Bradley Jansen is Deputy Director of the Center for Technology
Policy of the Free Congress Foundation.
Matt Sekerke is a Research Associate at the Johns Hopkins Institute for
Applied Economics and the Study of Business Enterprise.
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